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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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obama is leading 50% to 46% basically unchanged since earlier this month and well within the poll's sampling error. we're going to spend a lot of time this hour hearing from the first lady, michelle obama, and mitt romney's wife, ann romney. two fascinating women and strong advocates for their successful and ambitious husbands. at the bottom of the hour we'll bring you a special of "the journey of ann romney." she tells our own gloria borger that some people have the wrong impression of her husband. >> there are a lot of charges about your husband. one of them is that he's somebody who has no core. that he's been on both sides of a lot of issues. >> and that's just to me like the most false charge there is. because i know his core. >> what is his core? >> honesty, integrity, decency, intelligence, conviction to doing the right thing. for me i've seen that in everything he's done. and he's exhibited it in every way that he's lived his life. >> more from mrs. romney at the bottom of the hour here on cnn the in the meantime the first lady, michelle obama, spoke with our chief white house corres
obama is leading 50% to 46% basically unchanged since earlier this month and well within the poll's sampling error. we're going to spend a lot of time this hour hearing from the first lady, michelle obama, and mitt romney's wife, ann romney. two fascinating women and strong advocates for their successful and ambitious husbands. at the bottom of the hour we'll bring you a special of "the journey of ann romney." she tells our own gloria borger that some people have the wrong impression...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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and i looked at the two polls that had obama plus 4. i don't think obama plus four is the right number in ohio and here is why. >> bill: what was your number by the way? >> we had it tied. 47, 47. suffolk listed all the candidates on the ballots. a couple of things of on those polls that i noticed. number one cuyahoga county was weighted at 13%. the truth about cuyahoga county from 2004 to 2008 the total votes cast in ohio went up 100,000 if you add up all the candidates but in cuyahoga county, between 2004 and 2008 which was a big year for barack obama, cuyahoga county casted less ballots in the election in 2008 than 2004. the relative strength of cuyahoga has dropped to 11% north 13%. >> bill: that's very favorable to barack obama. that's the cleveland area. so, if they are weighting that in a heavy way. >> at 13% instead of 11%. >> bill: it's reality that the vote is dropping there. it's going to be better for romney. >> true. >> bill: do you trust rasmussen, larry? you are pretty outspoken about these polls. remember, scott was on i
and i looked at the two polls that had obama plus 4. i don't think obama plus four is the right number in ohio and here is why. >> bill: what was your number by the way? >> we had it tied. 47, 47. suffolk listed all the candidates on the ballots. a couple of things of on those polls that i noticed. number one cuyahoga county was weighted at 13%. the truth about cuyahoga county from 2004 to 2008 the total votes cast in ohio went up 100,000 if you add up all the candidates but in...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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some polls show the state tightening, but generally, it's been moving more towards romney than the obama camp would have hoped. >> what about on the race front, we look at the white and non white vote split. what do you see? >> you see the president per foming significantly underneath that 40% margin that john king took. this is difficult to talk about because you don't like seeing our politics polarized by race. democrats have had a deficit with white voters for more than 30 years. now, president obama made up a lot of that ground in 2008 and democrats have made up for it by having a significant edge, but this combination of a tough economy means that the president's having a hard time getting his white support above 40%. that is a real issue. in the long run, democrats have made a smart bet on diversity. republicans can't hope for a large share of the white vote to bring them over the top, but this is an issue in this collection and with the tough economy, huge implications that both campaigns are going to be paying a lot of attention to. >> thanks very much. race does matter in this e
some polls show the state tightening, but generally, it's been moving more towards romney than the obama camp would have hoped. >> what about on the race front, we look at the white and non white vote split. what do you see? >> you see the president per foming significantly underneath that 40% margin that john king took. this is difficult to talk about because you don't like seeing our politics polarized by race. democrats have had a deficit with white voters for more than 30 years....
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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until florida our new poll has president obama up. ohio we still have the president holding his lead. 51% to 45%. and in a recent poll of likely voters in virginia, the president was up 2 points, a statistical tie and nbc news has it's own coming out tomorrow morning. look at the ad spending in these three states. more than half a billion collectively in the mega states of flohva. they're not just spending money there, they're spending time. the president will have visited the sunshine state 14 times, for mitt romney it's 16. president obama will have made 19 stops in ohio, governor romney will be there 21 times. so let's get to our special panel. adam smith is the political editor, chris booker, wcmh and larry sabado. larry, let me start with you. the state of virginia, last time it was the closest to the country, the national popular vote. it was the one point off if you will of what obama -- mccain's numbers were, does the winner of the popular vote win virginia, larry? >> i think virginia is very very, close, chuck. i think you co
until florida our new poll has president obama up. ohio we still have the president holding his lead. 51% to 45%. and in a recent poll of likely voters in virginia, the president was up 2 points, a statistical tie and nbc news has it's own coming out tomorrow morning. look at the ad spending in these three states. more than half a billion collectively in the mega states of flohva. they're not just spending money there, they're spending time. the president will have visited the sunshine state 14...
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>> wolf, you know, our poll showed obama leading romney by three points here, i interviewed govern nor both of them were dismissing public polling saying our models show that the turnout is going to favor republicans. republicans are more enthusiastic. but i went out this morning with some afl-cio organizers. people are talking about turnout. the obama campaign says they've contacted over 120 million vote ners all these battleground states. they have a larger and more sophisticated ground operation. so that's what going on in the end. it's going to come down to turnout. this is a base election. and that's what both campaigns are doing right now is getting their people to vote early, either the obama campaign is doing their famous souls to the polls push tomorrow morning after churches. that's what we're looking at now. >> peter doing some good reporting for us in clumus ohio. still to come, more on the race for the white house. we've got a lot more on the race for the white house. >>> we're also following the aftermath of the superstorm sandy, four days in a shelter with no shower. we'
>> wolf, you know, our poll showed obama leading romney by three points here, i interviewed govern nor both of them were dismissing public polling saying our models show that the turnout is going to favor republicans. republicans are more enthusiastic. but i went out this morning with some afl-cio organizers. people are talking about turnout. the obama campaign says they've contacted over 120 million vote ners all these battleground states. they have a larger and more sophisticated ground...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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. >> a new cnn poll of likely voters in ohio shows president obama polling at 50% and mitt romney at 47%. the president made three stops in ohio today where he talked about mitt romney's lie that chrysler is moving american jobs to china. >> you've got to own what you say. this isn't a game. these are people's jobs at stake. these are people's lives. companies like g.m. and chrysler, they put a lot of time and effort and money into building up their brand and letting americans know that the american auto industry is back. and we don't want suddenly a bunch of ads saying stuff that's not true. you don't scare hard working americans just to scare up some votes. you know i tell the truth. and you know i fight for working families every single day as hard as i know how. >> president obama concluded his speech this way. >> and that's why i need you, ohio. to make sure that no matter who you are or what you look like or where you come from, what your last night is, where you started, no matter what, you can make it in america if you try. that's why i'm asking for your vote and if you're wi
. >> a new cnn poll of likely voters in ohio shows president obama polling at 50% and mitt romney at 47%. the president made three stops in ohio today where he talked about mitt romney's lie that chrysler is moving american jobs to china. >> you've got to own what you say. this isn't a game. these are people's jobs at stake. these are people's lives. companies like g.m. and chrysler, they put a lot of time and effort and money into building up their brand and letting americans know...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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it all comes as the latest abc news poll shows this is a dead heat, mitt romney, ahead of president obama by just one point, 49% to 48%. and with a race this tight, a big question tonight -- could the hurricane upend this final stretch? here's abc's senior political correspondent jon karl tonight. >> reporter: it's mother nature's october surprise. a storm so big and so destructive, it could throw the campaign's final week into chaos. >> the storm will throw a little bit of havoc into the race. >> reporter: for president obama, it meant canceling two upcoming events and visiting fema headquarters, vowing an immediate response to the storm. >> we're going to cut through red tape, we're not going to get bogged down with a lot of rules. we want to make sure we are anticipating and leaning forward. >> reporter: there are political stakes, too. a chance for the president to show decisive leadership or to take the blame if the response is bungled. all told, 16 campaign events have already been canceled. mitt romney canceled three in virginia, moving westward to ohio, where he met up with paul r
it all comes as the latest abc news poll shows this is a dead heat, mitt romney, ahead of president obama by just one point, 49% to 48%. and with a race this tight, a big question tonight -- could the hurricane upend this final stretch? here's abc's senior political correspondent jon karl tonight. >> reporter: it's mother nature's october surprise. a storm so big and so destructive, it could throw the campaign's final week into chaos. >> the storm will throw a little bit of havoc...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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well, a new rasmussen poll of likely voters showing governor romney leading president obama 49% to 47%. now, that is westboun within thn of error. former mississippi governor haley bar bore join barber join. good evening. > >> greta: have you had any further thoughts about the race? >> for my thinking, the biggest change in the race is to obama's favor and that's been this storm, you know. any day that we're not talking about the economy and jobs, that we're not talking about obama's record for debt and deficits, health care, energy, any day we're talking about something else, that's good for obama, and so i will be surprised if he doesn't make a little bit of a comeback here. he's had a prett pretty solid mt for a month. there wasn't anything happehe m. what may stop it is this storm and not so much that the president will do a great job, although i don't have any doubt that he will. mostly what happens right after a terrible storm is we know where i come from, it's the local first responders. it's the firemen, the policeman, the highway patrolmen, the national guardsmen, the mayors,
well, a new rasmussen poll of likely voters showing governor romney leading president obama 49% to 47%. now, that is westboun within thn of error. former mississippi governor haley bar bore join barber join. good evening. > >> greta: have you had any further thoughts about the race? >> for my thinking, the biggest change in the race is to obama's favor and that's been this storm, you know. any day that we're not talking about the economy and jobs, that we're not talking about...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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WBAL
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but a new poll just out shows obama up by several points, leading in wisconsin, new hampshire and iowa. >> back and forth, back and forth. >> you can stay more collected -- more connected than ever before. a reminder of what these types of storms can do. maryland was very lucky this week. there is no doubt about that. >> cleanup has begun a long pitcher's east shore, but what do you do about this? is brand-new, carved out as the storm ripped through the barrier island on monday night. the house is now flattened or moved or stuck. >> i don't know where the house came from. the bridge of his peers were used to join the main road. the houses were someplace else for monday night. there are those who were moved there. >> it is phenomenal. this is what the town looked like before monday. now it is gone. and tune has been pushed into the homes and streets. all along is destruction. house is piled onto one another and others burned to the ground. in seaside heights, both amusement peers are gone. this is what it used to look like and now. right below us. my family was lucky. the house has been
but a new poll just out shows obama up by several points, leading in wisconsin, new hampshire and iowa. >> back and forth, back and forth. >> you can stay more collected -- more connected than ever before. a reminder of what these types of storms can do. maryland was very lucky this week. there is no doubt about that. >> cleanup has begun a long pitcher's east shore, but what do you do about this? is brand-new, carved out as the storm ripped through the barrier island on...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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a late week "new york times" poll showed the gender gap re-emerge knowledge in president obama's favor. 52% of women and 44% of men support obama. while the g.o.p.'s mitt romney has 44% of women and1% of men in his corner. women voters in battleground states are the coveted demographic according to two campaign experts. >> i think if you look at the president has done with the economy, it is very far reaching, just across the country women have access to capital to start small business, let's not forget his very, very first bill that he signed in to law was lily ledbetter fair pay act. it's a tremendous accomplishment. i think that shows his devotion and his commitment to women. >> first thing you have to ask is, what are women concerned about today, it's jobs, job security, opportunities for themselves and for their loved ones and in particular for their kidss there a brighter future. this is mitt romney's message to women to all americans. is that he is going to put in to place economic policies that will create growth which will create the jobs, be the ergy to small businesses start
a late week "new york times" poll showed the gender gap re-emerge knowledge in president obama's favor. 52% of women and 44% of men support obama. while the g.o.p.'s mitt romney has 44% of women and1% of men in his corner. women voters in battleground states are the coveted demographic according to two campaign experts. >> i think if you look at the president has done with the economy, it is very far reaching, just across the country women have access to capital to start small...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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we have a new cnn national poll of polls, the average of three new daily tracking polls that shows mitt romney with a very slim lead over president obama. 48% to 46%. hurricane sandy playing havoc with the travel plans for both president obama and mitt romney. both those campaigns. the president is leaving d.c. tonight before the weather worsens. and instead of tomorrow as first planned to get down to florida. mitt romney also having to change his itinerary. that's why we are going now to cnn's jim acosta always with the romney campaign and traveling with them. jim, the storm already having an impact on where you're going, isn't it? >> reporter: that is right, don. for the final nine days of the campaign, throw out the white dry erase board and perhaps take the doppler weather radar and lay it over the battleground map because that's how we track this campaign heading into the homestretch here. both campaigns, if you add them together of roughly a dozen campaign events so far between the president and mitt romney, mitt right now is heading to the gymnasium here in marion, ohio, with an
we have a new cnn national poll of polls, the average of three new daily tracking polls that shows mitt romney with a very slim lead over president obama. 48% to 46%. hurricane sandy playing havoc with the travel plans for both president obama and mitt romney. both those campaigns. the president is leaving d.c. tonight before the weather worsens. and instead of tomorrow as first planned to get down to florida. mitt romney also having to change his itinerary. that's why we are going now to cnn's...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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FBC
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the problem is, though, you still have the recent poll, a harvard poll has obama leading men romney by 90 percentage ints in that age demographic and 18-29. these are your classic case obama's zombies. barack obama, is campaigning in his actual policies are going to ma it a lot harder for young people to find jobs and pay up this enormous debt and is sitting on our doorstep. yet therwill still cast a vote by and large for barack obama in today's. gerri: you look at the way he campaigns. here is money for you, money for you, student loans, free birth control demand for you, i'm going to give you, you know -- >> foods stamps or immigration documents. >> had is that sense to you. >> i think it sounds awful. i personally would not be sucked into voting for him just because of that. i think the point is that young people aren't enthusiastic about in. what matters is turnout. and i think romney does not have to when the end people, all of the and people. all he has to do is reduce the margin by which obama wn them in 2008 which will be that big of a problem because of the fact that people ar
the problem is, though, you still have the recent poll, a harvard poll has obama leading men romney by 90 percentage ints in that age demographic and 18-29. these are your classic case obama's zombies. barack obama, is campaigning in his actual policies are going to ma it a lot harder for young people to find jobs and pay up this enormous debt and is sitting on our doorstep. yet therwill still cast a vote by and large for barack obama in today's. gerri: you look at the way he campaigns. here is...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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WJLA
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a policy poll shows president obama leading. with the margin of error and undecided voters, it is a statistical tie. >> we what is at stake in virginia. the team fighting to win the stage again. >> the president ended his campaign in virginia and kicks off this campaign. it is where he takes his wife for ballantine's -- valentine's. you have the city behind me. >> are you fired up? are you ready to go? >> the chant is the same. >> four more years! >> how do you accomplish that? aside from constant visits. we have had 20 since june. dance with the one who brought you, an age old adage. that is women, young voters, and minorities. >> i do not believe we can get far with leaders of that right off half addiction -- half the nation as a bunch of victims. i see hard-working virginians. >> the president has relied on women and with the first lady's help also holds a double-digit lead thanks to the commitment by supporters. >> we have to realize that the next president could very well choose a couple of supreme court justices. >> there
a policy poll shows president obama leading. with the margin of error and undecided voters, it is a statistical tie. >> we what is at stake in virginia. the team fighting to win the stage again. >> the president ended his campaign in virginia and kicks off this campaign. it is where he takes his wife for ballantine's -- valentine's. you have the city behind me. >> are you fired up? are you ready to go? >> the chant is the same. >> four more years! >> how do...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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the latest poll shows obama up by four points. some see that as proof romney can win. a statement both campaigns are now using to get out the vote in ohio. will it work? here's cnn's gary tuckman. >> reporter: ohio, the electorate bull's eye of this political season. mitt romney working the crowds in columbus. while barack obama pumped up his supporters in the evening in cleveland. both men receiving wild ovati ovations. while the crowd reaction is great, will that enthusiasm drive them to the polls on election day? even among the fervent obama supporters at this rally this is a common theme. >> more excited four years ago or more excited today? >> i'd say -- honestly, i was more excited four years ago. >> reporter: meanwhile, fervent supporters at the romney rally often have their own nuanced motivations. are you more motivated by wanting obama to lose? >> wanting obama to lose, most definitely. he let the whole country down. >> reporter: candidates appreciate any kind of support. but the more unconditional and enthusiastic that support is, the more likely that voter
the latest poll shows obama up by four points. some see that as proof romney can win. a statement both campaigns are now using to get out the vote in ohio. will it work? here's cnn's gary tuckman. >> reporter: ohio, the electorate bull's eye of this political season. mitt romney working the crowds in columbus. while barack obama pumped up his supporters in the evening in cleveland. both men receiving wild ovati ovations. while the crowd reaction is great, will that enthusiasm drive them...
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Oct 30, 2012
10/12
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in florida, soles to the polls which was cut off, has already happened so the obama campaign, in large part because of the republicans have actually banked more early votes this time than they had at this point in '08 so they've built up like a fire wall while the republicans are left with this to hamper their early vote. >> thanks for joining me tonight. >> we'll be right back with more coverage. >>> msnbc's meteorologist is back with the latest. bill, my one question is, where has the worst already happened? and where is the worst yet to happen? >> yeah. it can't get any worse than the jersey shore or the delaware area of maryland and coastal areas, you hit your high tide cycle and the water is receding quickly including new york city and that's good. you won't get any more destruction. it's been done. as far as areas that still have to go through their high tide, portions of outer long island, coastal connecticut and rhode island, your high tide is between 11:00 and midnight here on the east coast and that's when the damage will be done. it won't be as bad as your friends to the sou
in florida, soles to the polls which was cut off, has already happened so the obama campaign, in large part because of the republicans have actually banked more early votes this time than they had at this point in '08 so they've built up like a fire wall while the republicans are left with this to hamper their early vote. >> thanks for joining me tonight. >> we'll be right back with more coverage. >>> msnbc's meteorologist is back with the latest. bill, my one question is,...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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WBAL
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poll, obama is still looking fairly strong in ohio. i guess if you had to put your savings somewhere you would probably say -- chris: so an electoral victory but a popular vote loss. >> my head says the seam thing but my gut is saying what i started this segment with. beats me. i mean, really. romney had to pass a major test. and he passed it. chris: in the first debate. >> in the first debate. these debates are about one thing and one thing only. whether or not you want to have this guy in your house for the next four years. chris: once he's in the house, hard to get him out. >> i agree. i agree with this completely. >> that obama spent the entire summer trying to con -- convince people you don't want this guy in your house and romney turned that around. chris: once he is in the leaving room -- in the living room watching tv -- i'm more skeptical of people saying i feel good about this. wait a minute. anyway, heerks the president hitting mitt romney as the change you can't believe in. >> there's no more serious issue in a presidential
poll, obama is still looking fairly strong in ohio. i guess if you had to put your savings somewhere you would probably say -- chris: so an electoral victory but a popular vote loss. >> my head says the seam thing but my gut is saying what i started this segment with. beats me. i mean, really. romney had to pass a major test. and he passed it. chris: in the first debate. >> in the first debate. these debates are about one thing and one thing only. whether or not you want to have...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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CNNW
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barack obama has a 50% to 46% margin over mitt romney in this latest poll, which is why mitt romney and paul ryan are stu stumping there today after modifying their plans. they were going to be in virginia, but because of the storm now they're in ohio. as you see here, the two rally supporters just a short time ago in salina, ohio. they have both spent several days in the buckeye state and have more on their calendar. let's talk a little more about the direction of that state and the voting electrorate has your own new polling out this morning showing a dead heat there. obama and romney both pulling 49% of support out of likely voters. this is in line with that tightening national race according to a number of major polls. so why is, or is it your view, that ohio is kind of the microcosm of the country? >> ohio is, indeed, fredricka. it always is. it's tied this time, but if you were to compare, let's say, texas or utah with new york and put them all in one state, you would have ohio. >> so the president has traveled to that state at least 24 times, mitt romney somewhere more than 40 ti
barack obama has a 50% to 46% margin over mitt romney in this latest poll, which is why mitt romney and paul ryan are stu stumping there today after modifying their plans. they were going to be in virginia, but because of the storm now they're in ohio. as you see here, the two rally supporters just a short time ago in salina, ohio. they have both spent several days in the buckeye state and have more on their calendar. let's talk a little more about the direction of that state and the voting...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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and at least in these polls, obama is ahead, florida, virginia and ohio. and that's is where this thing is tilting, it is just an incredibly difficult map for romney to navigate. >> bill: "wall street journal" i think is one of the most credible polls, and yet your poll showed 47-47 on the national poll. how do you explain that? >> it's not as if the national numbers are going to be wildly different from the states, but there are states that are standing out there in a strange island. there has been one poll in a month and a half that put romney up in ohio and that was a rasmussen poll like two days ago. we have one coming out this sunday which will be the last that we do. he was very big in the south. mitt romney's numbers are really big in texas and other places that don't necessarily matter. obama's numbers are going to be fairly mediocre in blue states so we're seeing a little bit of an imbalance. and then just the difficulty of these states that need to be won desperately by mitt romney. he should own florida right now for his own safety and he is cam
and at least in these polls, obama is ahead, florida, virginia and ohio. and that's is where this thing is tilting, it is just an incredibly difficult map for romney to navigate. >> bill: "wall street journal" i think is one of the most credible polls, and yet your poll showed 47-47 on the national poll. how do you explain that? >> it's not as if the national numbers are going to be wildly different from the states, but there are states that are standing out there in a...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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CURRENT
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but i think the polling is misleading to show that it is obama right now than it is. it depends on who shows up, what is the weather like. a whole bunch of factors play in this what does the storm do. >> gavin: here's what people are thinking as that meet something occurring. >> yes, and we're going to know--we're still going to be in the field on monday, and the election is on tuesday. >> gavin: interesting. >> there is not going to be whole lot of value being in the field on monday because it will be too late for them to publish the results. then we'll be able to say who did you vote for in realtime in an exit poll on a whole other level. >> we're not saying that we're better but we feel just as good as phone polling and it doesn't actually cost us anything. phone polling is really expensive. >> gavin: i've spent plenty of money in polling. let me put it in perspective. when i was running for mayor, i would do a comprehensive poll. it would cost about $30,000 to 35 they had to a simple baseline poll. this is in the city. if you want to go statewide and get a broader
but i think the polling is misleading to show that it is obama right now than it is. it depends on who shows up, what is the weather like. a whole bunch of factors play in this what does the storm do. >> gavin: here's what people are thinking as that meet something occurring. >> yes, and we're going to know--we're still going to be in the field on monday, and the election is on tuesday. >> gavin: interesting. >> there is not going to be whole lot of value being in the...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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polls. i think right now there was clearly a trend towards mitt romney after the first debate, that looks like it has stalled out, where most of us thought a year ago, we would have said this is going to be a close race. it's pretty much the floor for any republican, and now we're seeing mitt romney at 48 to 49%, and that makes sense to me. you start looking around the states, and the president is in pretty darn good position. >> bill: right. the emphasis to me -- they keep talking about the national polls because they have to have a horse race right? >> right. >> bill: but we do not -- people have to understand we do not elect a president by a national vote. >> that's right. >> bill: it's state by state by state. >> so if you run the store up in texas. it doesn't matter. if you win by 50% or 60%, it doesn't matter. >> bill: that's right. the new york times this morning, i think maybe one of the few that you can really trust. their count of the electoral map right now is 243 obama, 206 romne
polls. i think right now there was clearly a trend towards mitt romney after the first debate, that looks like it has stalled out, where most of us thought a year ago, we would have said this is going to be a close race. it's pretty much the floor for any republican, and now we're seeing mitt romney at 48 to 49%, and that makes sense to me. you start looking around the states, and the president is in pretty darn good position. >> bill: right. the emphasis to me -- they keep talking about...
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Oct 29, 2012
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but the latest nbc news/"wall street journal" poll finds romney leading nationally by six points. why is that important in virginia? according to the new "washington post" poll, 36% of virginia voters now say they are independent, more than democrats, more than republicans. that's the largest voting bloc. let's look at the 2008 map to see where the president did well and where he needs to overperform this time. if you look here, i'm going to circle our little blue counties here. i'm going to show you where the places here, and i switch over to the 2004, you'll see all this blue disappear in the areas that i just circled. and when you look, you see where a large chunk of the independents live. in the norfolk area, in the northern neck, and in the outer suburbs of washington, d.c. you see what remained blue and what didn't. i'll show it to you again. watch our little maps, and the blue color, you see from the northern neck to norfolk, that's where these independents live. so for the president to win virginia, he'll have to maximize a get out the vote effort and try to regain ground
but the latest nbc news/"wall street journal" poll finds romney leading nationally by six points. why is that important in virginia? according to the new "washington post" poll, 36% of virginia voters now say they are independent, more than democrats, more than republicans. that's the largest voting bloc. let's look at the 2008 map to see where the president did well and where he needs to overperform this time. if you look here, i'm going to circle our little blue counties...
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obama's director of resech says polls don't matter. i have been fooled. in 1980 everyone missed the reagan landslide. can accurately predict? once go to scott rassman said. polls are trashed all the time. >> of course, . they are trashed by the team that is losing. you cannot trust them or be have secretive permission. we are shocked when a poll gets it wrong. in 2008 the entire industry missed hillary clinton winning in new hampshire because those don't happen. john: nawaz looking for poll mistakes. i was looking. >> 1948 if i was not around. john: how do you sample? >> the theory is called 1,000 and the numbers at random. but we don't do that began shafted place more erred calls in california and wyoming because of population. whites answer more than non-whites. women answer more than men. even then you have to wait the sample to make sure you have the right mix. john how do do that? >> it is from the statistics course we know we have 52 percent of women in this day we want to make sure the sample matches. john: criticism. you favor republicans. "time"
obama's director of resech says polls don't matter. i have been fooled. in 1980 everyone missed the reagan landslide. can accurately predict? once go to scott rassman said. polls are trashed all the time. >> of course, . they are trashed by the team that is losing. you cannot trust them or be have secretive permission. we are shocked when a poll gets it wrong. in 2008 the entire industry missed hillary clinton winning in new hampshire because those don't happen. john: nawaz looking for...
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Nov 4, 2012
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tonight president obama is ahead in the polls. but romney has for rowed the lead in the last couple of months. today wisconsin become a hot campaign spot for both candidates. vice president biden talked to the voters at the red mug coffee shop in superior wisconsin, but he got upstaged in milwaukee. pop star katy perry performed some of her hit songs at the crowded rally before president obama spoke. she asked everybody there to donate to the red cross. she made this offer to encourage people to vote. >> if you're over 18, and you've got some real cool outfit you're going to wear on tuesday, you tweet that to me and i'll retweet you. all right? because i'm going to pull out one for sure, as well. >> president obama didn't talk fashion. >> wisconsin, after four years as president, you know me. and so -- so, you know -- you know me. you've watched me age before your eyes. and you may not agree with every decision i've made. sometimes you may have been frustrated by the pace of change, but you know where i stand. you know what i beli
tonight president obama is ahead in the polls. but romney has for rowed the lead in the last couple of months. today wisconsin become a hot campaign spot for both candidates. vice president biden talked to the voters at the red mug coffee shop in superior wisconsin, but he got upstaged in milwaukee. pop star katy perry performed some of her hit songs at the crowded rally before president obama spoke. she asked everybody there to donate to the red cross. she made this offer to encourage people...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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one of the other arguments the obama campaign makes these national polls. gallup poll has shown seven-point lead for romney. simply missing these voters who will get out again. >> we have two polling races. rasmussens and, according to the gallup and rasmussens we're headed for a landslide for romney. they missed last time by huge amounts. i don't know what's going on out there. george, none of us does, i think, i think it's going to be extremely close. i think like nicolle, it's going to be about ohio, the auto bailout. >> or miscounting latino voters. or just the science of polling. >> or the number of times i have refused to pick up my phone when i can see it's research firm. but nonetheless, i think a nightmare frankly, maybe we can all agree on this, there are some electoral college/popular vote difference. >> one scenario is that it just doesn't come down to one state, like ohio, is that you got four, five states and each one of those five is in that circumstance and we're in total confusion. >> we have december 31st coming up. >> you talk about ohio,
one of the other arguments the obama campaign makes these national polls. gallup poll has shown seven-point lead for romney. simply missing these voters who will get out again. >> we have two polling races. rasmussens and, according to the gallup and rasmussens we're headed for a landslide for romney. they missed last time by huge amounts. i don't know what's going on out there. george, none of us does, i think, i think it's going to be extremely close. i think like nicolle, it's going to...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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what we've seen in the polls is president obama having a small but steady lead. mitt romney has been unable to kind of reverse that momentum here in ohio. a couple different reasons. take a look at poll. president obama big lead with women. governor romney, big lead with men. governor romney has a two-point edge with independent voters in our poll, but president obama has an almost 20-point lead with self-described moderate voters. >> that's interesting that there's a distinction those two. >> a very important distinction and hasn't happened in political history. the taeea party moving to the right. we're just in the toledo where the jeep plant s.unemployment was 13% in that city when president obama took office. now it's at 7% rate. manufacturing, the middle class, these are the sweet spots of a democratic pitch, and they have been able to say that mitt romney, a state where the bain ads, have had an effect would not be a good stewart that have reinvestment. president obama's core argument here is economic and it's also saying, look, the policies that mitt romne
what we've seen in the polls is president obama having a small but steady lead. mitt romney has been unable to kind of reverse that momentum here in ohio. a couple different reasons. take a look at poll. president obama big lead with women. governor romney, big lead with men. governor romney has a two-point edge with independent voters in our poll, but president obama has an almost 20-point lead with self-described moderate voters. >> that's interesting that there's a distinction those...